Weather Markets Edge Desk MCP server
online · 100% uptimeKalshi weather markets: daily-high board beside the NWS forecast, live edges, EV, Kelly, base rates.
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If you have run it, two minutes of your experience saves the next person an afternoon.
Weather Markets Edge Desk tools (7, 1 write)
write = sends, deletes, buys or postsbase_rate_gapFreeUse for "how does this price compare to history" and "is the market ignoring the base rate". Compares a market price with the historical base rate for a class of events: the gap in pp, a signal, and sample-size quality. Pass a known baseRateId (the parameter lists them) or your own baseRateValue.
bayes_updatewrite actionFreeUpdate a prior probability with one or more pieces of evidence using Bayes theorem. Given a prior and a list of evidence items (each with P(evidence | true) and P(evidence | false)), returns the posterior probability and the per-step chain. Use for "update my estimate with new information", "posterior probability", "how does this news change the odds".
calculate_evFreeUse for "is this contract mispriced" and "what is my edge". Give a Kalshi or Polymarket price in cents and your own probability; returns the % expected-value edge and a BUY / SELL / SKIP read.
convert_probabilityFreeConvert between implied probability, American odds, and decimal odds. Give one value and its format and get all three back (American odds carry no commas, e.g. +441 or -200). Use for "what is +150 as a probability", "convert 62% to American odds", "decimal to implied odds".
edge_alertsFreeUse for "any edge on Kalshi" and "weather trade signals". Our model alerts on Kalshi — weather, bitcoin/silver/gold/oil, mispricings — with feed, tier, side, price, model probability, edge and link. Real time with Pro; free is delayed 24h without the thesis. One identical, impersonal feed for every subscriber; filters only select. Informational, not investment advice.
kelly_sizeFreeCompute the optimal Kelly position size for a prediction-market contract. Given your win probability, the market price (which sets the payout), your bankroll, and a Kelly fraction (full / half / quarter / eighth), returns the dollar stake and a risk rating. Use for "how much should I stake", "what is my position size", "Kelly sizing for this trade".
weather_boardFreeUse for "Kalshi NYC high temperature odds". Every open Kalshi daily-high strike in 13 cities: YES price, settlement station and source, the strict-comparison rule, close time, and the NWS forecast high beside it. Pass city ("nyc", "KXHIGHCHI"). Market data only.
Public scan report
scanner v0.1.10 · 2026-10-14 · same rubric, same numbers if you re-run it
- –Code scanremote-only server, no package to scann/a
- Live reliabilityremote reachable in 1771ms20/20
- Tool poisoning7 tool descriptions checked15/15
- Auth qualityopen endpoint exposes 1 write-action tools with no auth3/15
- Maintenancelast push 0 days ago15/15
- Maintainer identityregistry namespace matches repository owner; website matches verified namespace8/10
Findings (1)
- highWrite-action tools reachable without authentication
auth.open-write
How Weather Markets Edge Desk compares
Against every graded Maps and travel MCP server, from our own scans and uptime checks. Updated after each scan run.
- Safety score
- 81/100
- higher than 72% of 681 Maps and travel servers
- Tools
- 7
- the typical Maps and travel server has 6
- Tools that change things
- 14%
- typical: 0%. Fewer write tools means less an agent can break
- Uptime
- 100%
- of our recent checks; the typical remote Maps and travel server answers 100%
- Response time
- 506 ms
- faster than 31% of 452 Maps and travel servers
What its tools let an agent do: 6 read · 1 change
Release history: 4 versions in the registry since 2026-09-10, latest 2026-10-13, typically one every 5 days.
Install Weather Markets Edge Desk in Claude Code, Cursor or VS Code
claude mcp add --transport http weather https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp-weather/mcp?via=registry
What the publisher says
From the Weather Markets Edge Desk repository's README, as published. We do not edit it. Read it on GitHub
PredictionMarketsPicks MCP
Canonical home: predictionmarketspicks.com/mcp — docs, setup, the live wall and the per-tool track record. This repo is the bridge and the offline calculators; the server lives on the site.
A hosted Model Context Protocol server that gives AI agents quant tools for Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets — expected value, Kelly sizing, Bayesian updating, probability conversion, cross-platform price gaps, Fed rate odds, live edge signals, and the in-season NFL model: power ratings, win probability, The Ladder, the weekly prop board and game/prop edges.
Every signal our engines publish is graded against the market that priced it: 1,612 decided signals, +$98.40 net on a flat one-contract stake, as of Aug 18, 2026 — published per tool, including the engines that lose money. → predictionmarketspicks.com/track-record
- Endpoint (Streamable HTTP): https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp
- Registry name: com.predictionmarketspicks/quant (MCP registry)
- 29 tools — 22 free, 5 Pro, 2 free-with-depth-caps. No key needed for the free set. Eight of the free tools are the fantasy draft desk, parked until the 2027 offseason (see below), so 14 free tools answer in-season (the 2026 Senate map and per-race odds joined 2026-09-17).
- Fantasy draft landing page: predictionmarketspicks.com/draft — the eight draft tools, connect instructions, and the model behind the board. The desk is parked for the 2026 season and reopens for the 2027 offseason.
Connect
Any host that speaks Streamable HTTP (Claude Code, Claude.ai, ChatGPT, Cursor) — point it at the URL. Nothing to install:
claude mcp add --transport http predictionmarketspicks https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcpHosts that only speak stdio — this package bridges one to the other:
{
"mcpServers": {
"predictionmarketspicks": {
"command": "npx",
"args": ["-y", "@predictionmarketspicks/mcp"]
}
}
}That relays the hosted server verbatim — all 29 tools, live data, tool schemas and result payloads untouched. Set PMPAPIKEY in the server's env to unlock the Pro tools; without one you get the free tools at free depth.
npx @predictionmarketspicks/mcp # bridge to the hosted quant server (default)
npx @predictionmarketspicks/mcp --draft # bridge to the fantasy-draft server (parked until the 2027 offseason)
npx @predictionmarketspicks/mcp --local # 6 calculators, offline, no network at all--local is a self-contained build of the six stateless calculators. It makes no network calls, so it runs in an air-gapped sandbox — but it cannot serve the live engines, the NFL model, or anything that reads a market.
Other hosted surfaces (same registry, same tool objects, different selection — no separate install):
Tools
Shortened. The full README is on GitHub.
Nothing above is checked by us. What we check is on the safety report.
Weather Markets Edge Desk: common questions
- Is Weather Markets Edge Desk MCP server safe?
- Mostly: it is graded B (81/100). Read the Weather Markets Edge Desk safety report
- How do I install Weather Markets Edge Desk?
- It runs remotely at predictionmarketspicks.com. Add it to Claude Code, Cursor, VS Code or Claude Desktop with the snippets above, or call it through the mcp.market gateway without installing anything.
- Does Weather Markets Edge Desk need an API key?
- Not as far as the registry entry and our scan can tell: no credentials are declared or required.
- Is Weather Markets Edge Desk maintained?
- The last commit was 20 days ago (2026-10-14). The latest release is v1.2.0.
- Is Weather Markets Edge Desk up?
- 100% of our last 28 checks got an answer. We check remote servers about four times a day.
- What can I use instead of Weather Markets Edge Desk?
- Servers from other publishers that do the same job: Nws Weather MCP server, Weather MCP server and Weather Data MCP Server.
- How does Weather Markets Edge Desk compare with other Maps and travel MCP servers?
- safety score 81/100 (higher than 72% of 681 Maps and travel servers); tools 7 (the typical Maps and travel server has 6); tools that change things 14% (typical: 0%. Fewer write tools means less an agent can break). Full comparison.
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