Mmcp.market

backtesting-frameworks skill

by wshobson·wshobson/agents·40k stars·MIT

Build robust backtesting systems for trading strategies with proper handling of look-ahead bias, survivorship bias, and transaction costs. Use when developing trading algorithms, validating strategies, or building backtesting infrastructure.

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Install the backtesting-frameworks skill

A skill is a folder. Copy it into your agent's skills folder and the agent loads it when the task matches its description.

git clone --depth 1 https://github.com/wshobson/agents.git /tmp/agents
mkdir -p ~/.claude/skills
cp -r /tmp/agents/plugins/quantitative-trading/skills/backtesting-frameworks ~/.claude/skills/backtesting-frameworks
available in every project

In the Claude apps, zip the folder and upload it from the Skills settings. The folder on GitHub

The instructions your agent would load

SKILL.md as published, without the frontmatter. Read it on GitHub

Backtesting Frameworks

Build robust, production-grade backtesting systems that avoid common pitfalls and produce reliable strategy performance estimates.

When to Use This Skill

  • Developing trading strategy backtests
  • Building backtesting infrastructure
  • Validating strategy performance
  • Avoiding common backtesting biases
  • Implementing walk-forward analysis
  • Comparing strategy alternatives

Core Concepts

1. Backtesting Biases

2. Proper Backtest Structure

Historical Data
      │
      ▼
┌─────────────────────────────────────────┐
│              Training Set               │
│  (Strategy Development & Optimization)  │
└─────────────────────────────────────────┘
      │
      ▼
┌─────────────────────────────────────────┐
│             Validation Set              │
│  (Parameter Selection, No Peeking)      │
└─────────────────────────────────────────┘
      │
      ▼
┌─────────────────────────────────────────┐
│               Test Set                  │
│  (Final Performance Evaluation)         │
└─────────────────────────────────────────┘

3. Walk-Forward Analysis

Window 1: [Train──────][Test]
Window 2:     [Train──────][Test]
Window 3:         [Train──────][Test]
Window 4:             [Train──────][Test]
                                     ─────▶ Time

Detailed worked examples and patterns

Detailed sections (starting with ## Implementation Patterns) live in references/details.md. Read that file when the navigation summary above is insufficient.

Best Practices

Do's

  • Use point-in-time data - Avoid look-ahead bias
  • Include transaction costs - Realistic estimates
  • Test out-of-sample - Always reserve data
  • Use walk-forward - Not just train/test
  • Monte Carlo analysis - Understand uncertainty

Don'ts

  • Don't overfit - Limit parameters
  • Don't ignore survivorship - Include delisted
  • Don't use adjusted data carelessly - Understand adjustments
  • Don't optimize on full history - Reserve test set
  • Don't ignore capacity - Market impact matters

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